Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 98850.212057 104176.605711 109497.459303 115208.084617 121159.921532 127176.690490 133715.208049
2025-08-31 89306.079638 97400.710905 105708.974478 114863.205824 124655.565143 134805.605683 146110.756093
2025-09-07 83727.015590 93812.760639 104386.437941 116276.171184 129250.810592 142957.108237 158508.282941
2025-09-14 79180.113515 90755.903026 103109.170181 117236.801129 132908.922791 149723.788154 169090.545537
2025-09-21 74930.066792 87630.288186 101397.620979 117377.397329 135359.401200 154913.154248 177726.807276
2025-09-28 71330.164995 84954.049963 99932.974414 117551.468837 137631.660699 159728.002298 185802.700897
2025-10-05 69229.179665 83806.690244 100037.450872 119354.490084 141619.213158 166376.132133 195881.652948
2025-10-12 67198.794443 82599.254636 99949.230550 120825.251748 145137.782890 172432.057896 205258.374793
2025-10-19 64985.972387 81052.691259 99357.406487 121611.766856 147784.671526 177433.406324 213395.907880
2025-10-26 62629.376208 79221.300242 98329.654683 121793.138046 149647.273414 181471.878600 220385.708296
2025-11-02 60636.462944 77732.348918 97623.407983 122277.854913 151803.723934 185809.481168 227703.400253
2025-11-09 58547.958985 76040.203162 96595.944566 122306.622839 153359.312337 189399.962879 234121.216343
2025-11-16 57238.622750 75269.432897 96659.463877 123644.661602 156498.116722 194905.743792 242886.274330
2025-11-23 55269.233655 73613.430837 95587.194814 123553.113253 157878.245892 198301.678266 249145.309635
2025-11-30 54256.576737 73108.720424 95890.448193 125115.550999 161249.617944 204084.437788 258290.312446
2025-12-07 53052.955171 72314.151773 95793.489215 126149.763713 163952.984608 209056.158527 266472.973768
2025-12-14 51499.541226 71018.928316 95022.852875 126302.289532 165536.718810 212649.957058 272982.241196
2025-12-21 50047.899945 69805.423539 94310.716225 126487.845510 167130.220160 216237.995278 279483.794353
2025-12-28 49466.272135 69696.267398 94979.035096 128402.185553 170878.956268 222484.774504 289281.630395
2026-01-04 48761.086738 69396.884902 95381.841370 129963.422531 174179.639170 228188.301010 298439.544976
2026-01-11 47774.663184 68692.483271 95234.958149 130798.224752 176548.868725 232735.229350 306180.805584
2026-01-18 46559.792248 67646.565037 94612.220587 130990.722696 178080.235354 236227.019185 312613.104956
2026-01-25 45535.224808 66825.568051 94255.924744 131505.155907 180007.580080 240211.355539 319673.885176